Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants

The Atlanta Falcons and the New York Giants face off on Sunday in the Georgia Dome in a NFL matchup of two NFC division leaders. The Falcons are -1 point favorites over the Giants with an over/under point total set at 51.5.
The Atlanta Falcons have the best record In the NFC but even so they are coming off of their most ordinary performance of the year in a loss at Carolina. Matt Ryan has completed 67.7 percent of his passes with 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions while being sacked 24 times. Michael Turner is averaging 3.7 yards per carry with eight touchdowns while Jacquizz Rodgers is seeing more action and he is averaging 4.1 yards per carry and he has 43 catches out of the backfield. Defensively Atlanta allows 19.9 points per game, 127 rushing yards, and 234.9 passing yards with 16 interceptions and 28 sacks. Stephen Nicholas has 81 tackles, William Moore as 75 tackles, Sean Weatherspoon has 69 tackles and John Abraham has 10 sacks. Atlanta gave up far too many third down conversions last Sunday and had just 35 yards of offense in the first half, number they will need to improve on.
The New York Giants lead the NFC East and this is the time of the season where the past several Super Bowl Champions have gone on their momentum building runs that carried through the big game. Eli Manning has completed 60.8 percent of his passes for 20 touchdowns and 13 interceptions while being sacked 14 times. While Ahmad Bradshaw is the Giants leading rusher last Sunday it was David Wilson ripping of big runs and making huge contributions in the return game. Victor Cruz has 76 catches and nine touchdowns, Hakeem Nicks has 50 catches and three touchdowns, and Martellus Bennett has 49 catches and five touchdowns. Defensively the Giants allow 20.8 points per game, 123.3 rushing yards, and 252.8 passing yards with 20 interceptions and 31 sacks. Michael Boley has 84 tackles, Antrel Rolle has 79 tackles, Chase Blackburn has 77 tackles and Stevie Brown has seven interceptions. The Giants have come up big against the good teams with wins over other division leaders the Packers and 49ers already to their credit this season.
Atlanta is 21-7 against the spread in their last 28 games following a loss, 2-5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall. New York is 10-2-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 5-2-1 against the spread against the NFC, and 1-4-1 against the spread following a game which they covered the spread. The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine meetings of these two.
The Giants have stepped it up against the better teams and this looks like a likely spot for them to get the chance to do that again. I don’t love this one as Matt Ryan is tough as nails at home but the Giants know how to win big games.

Pick
NY Giants +1 Atlanta Falcons

December 11, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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