Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers
The Tennessee Volunteers and the Missouri Tigers face off on Saturday in Knoxville in SEC college football action. The Volunteers are -2.5 point favorites over the Tigers.
The Tennessee Volunteers look to be headed in the right direction but they are far from over the hump to becoming a top tier program once again and they need two more wins this year to become bowl eligible. Tyler Bray has proved to be capable at QB completing 59.9 percent of his passes with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Rajeon Neal is averaging 4.5 yards per carry with five touchdowns while catching 16 passes for another three touchdowns and Marlin Lane saw the bulk of the carries last week and he is averaging 5.0 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Justin Hunter is the Vols leading receiver with 56 catches and seven touchdowns, Codarrelle Patterson has 36 catches and four touchdowns, and Zach Rogers has 25 catches and five touchdowns. Defensively Tennessee allows 35.4 points per game, 186.4 rushing yards, and 296.8 passing yards with 10 interceptions and 12 sacks. A.J. Johnson has 101 tackles, Byron Moore has 76 tackles, and Herman Lathers has 54 tackles. This is a must win for Tennessee if they hope to play in a bowl game.
The Missouri Tigers are having a rough first year in the SEC but as we saw last week at Florida Mizzou has far from quit. QB James Franklin is back on the field and he has completed 57.5 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and six interceptions. Kendial Lawrence is averaging 4.9 yards per carry with eight touchdowns while catching 16 passes out of the backfield and Marcus Murphy is averaging 6.1 yards per carry with a touchdown. Marcus Lucas leads the Missouri receivers with 34 catches and two touchdowns, T.J. Moe has 30 catches and a touchdown, and Gahn McGaffie has 26 catches. Defensively Missouri is allowing 22.6 points per game, 142 rushing yards, and 185.6 passing yards with five interceptions and 19 sacks. Will Ebner and Sheldon Richardson each have 63 tackles and Andrew Wilson has 55 tackles. Missouri is in the same situation as Tennessee needing to win two of their last three to go to a bowl game.
Tennessee is 3-9-1 against the spread in their last 13 SEC games, 0-5 against the spread int heir last five home games, and 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games against a team with a losing road record. Missouri is 6-1 against the spread following their last seven losses, 1-6 against the spread following a cover, and 5-2 against the spread after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
This game looks to be tight and the odds makers look to have it about right but I will take the points in a pick that is nothing more than a slight lean at best.
Missouri Tigers +2.5 Tennessee Volunteers