Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos face off on Sunday in Kansas City in an AFC West showdown. The Broncos are -10.5 point favorites over the Chiefs with an over/under point total set at 44.
It has been a disappointing year for the Kansas Chiefs but that shouldn’t make it hard for Kansas City to rise to the occasion for a divisional game. At QB neither Matt Cassel nor Brady Quinn have been effective with Cassel throwing six touchdowns and 12 interceptions and Quinn throwing three interceptions without a touchdown. Jamaal Charles is averaging 4.8 yards per carry with three touchdowns and catching 26 passes and Shaun Draughn and Peyton Hillis are also getting carries. Dwayne Bowe left last week’s game and is questionable and he has 49 catches to lead the chiefs, Dexter McCluster has 34 catches, and Tony Meoki has 21 catches. As a team the Chiefs defense allows 28.4 points per game, 129.2 rushing yards, and 214.6 passing yards with six interceptions and 17 sacks. Derrick Johnson has 88 tackles, Eric Berry has 56 tackles, and Justin Houston has seven sacks. The Chiefs have a minus 21 turnover margin and if that continues they will likely have the first pick in the NFL Draft.
The Denver Broncos are running away with the AFC West as they are rolling while the rest of the division is going in reverse. Peyton Manning is putting up MVP type numbers completing 68.5 percent of his passes with 24 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Willis McGahee was injured last game and is out for several months so Ronnie Hillman should see an increased role. Demaryius Thomas has 57 catches and five touchdowns, Eric Decker has 5 catches and eight touchdowns, and Jacob Tamme has 34 catches. Defensively Denver allows 21.2 points per game, 93.8 rushing yards, and 219 passing yards with 12 interceptions and 35 sacks. Wesley Woodyard has 88 tackles, Rahim Moore has 50 tackles, and Von Miller has 13 sacks. Manning’s presence for the Broncos appears to have elevated the play of everyone on the team.
Kansas City is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games. Denver is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 5-2 against the spread against the AFC West. The underdog has covered in the last five meetings of these two.
Being a divisional game this one would set up to be a war but the disparity seems to be gigantic. I am not loving this game because If the Chiefs are going to stand up and be counted, like pro athletes seemingly always do, this is a logical spot, but Denver just seems to be so much better it’s tough to go against them here so the Broncos are my lukewarm pick here.
Denver Broncos -10.5 Kansas City Chiefs