Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
The Arkansas Razorbacks and the LSU Tigers face off on Friday in their annual college football battle for the Golden Boot. The Tigers are -13.5 point favorites over the Razorbacks with an over/under point total set at 49.
The Arkansas Razorbacks will be closing out a season they would like to forget and it will also likely end the tenure of John L. Smith as Head Coach of the Hogs. Tyler Wilson has had a disappointing year as well completing 62.5 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Dennis Johnson is averaging 5.5 yards per carry with eight touchdowns while catching 20 passes for two more touchdowns and Knile Davis is averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Cobi Hamilton leads the Arkansas receivers with 80 catches and five touchdowns, Chris Gragg has 22 catches and three touchdowns, Mekale McKay has 19 catches. Defensively Arkansas allows 30.5 points per game, 127.3 rushing yards, and 292.1 passing yards with six interceptions and 28 sacks. Ross Rasner has 79 tackles, Rohan Gaines has 72 tackles, and Alonzo Highsmith has 54 tackles. Arkansas is easily one of the most disappointing teams in the nation but a win here would at least give them some momentum to bring into the offseason.
The LSU Tigers have two losses this season but the expectation is that they will still go to a very good bowl game as their only two losses are to Florida and Alabama, both teams ranked in the top five in the BCS. Zach Mettenberger has completed 59 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. LSU likes to mix it up in the backfield with several backs getting significant time with Jeremy Hill averaging 4.9 yards per carry with nine touchdowns, Kenny Hilliard averaging 5.8 yards per carry with six touchdowns, and Spencer Ware averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Jarvis Landry leads the LSU receivers with 44 catches and three touchdowns, Odell Beckham Jr. has 36 catches and two touchdowns, and Kadron Boone has 24 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively LSU is allowing 17.3 points per game, 101.7 rushing yards, and 179.4 passing yards with 17 interceptions and 29 sacks. Kevin Minter has 101 tackles, Lamin Barrow has 80 tackles, and Sam Montgomery has seven sacks. LSU has an outside chance of making it to the SEC title game and still is in the mix for a BCS bowl game but they need some help.
Arkansas is 21-8 against the spread in their last 29 home games, 0-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 2-6 against the spread in their last eight SEC games. LSU is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine road games, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games against a team with a losing home record, and 2-7 against the spread after allowing more than 280 passing yards in their previous game. Arkansas has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.
I like the LSU Tigers to roll in this one and win the game by a large margin.
LSU Tigers -13.5 Arkansas Razorbacks