Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears
The Texas Longhorns and the Baylor Bears face off on Saturday as they both look to bounce back from disappointing one sided Big 12 losses. The Longhorns are -13 point favorites over the Bears with an over/under point total set at 55.
The Texas Longhorns were thinking they were back on the college football roadmap but back to back losses have them looking to regain their footing. QB David Ash was injured last week against Oklahoma and he has completed 71.9 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions and if he is unable to go it will be Case McCoy who has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with three touchdowns in limited action. Joe Bergeron is averaging 4.1 yards per carry and he has nine touchdowns and Johnathan Gray is averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Mike Davis leads the Texas receivers with 24 catches and three touchdowns, Jaxson Shipley has 23 catches and four touchdowns, and Marquise Goodwin has 15 catches and two touchdowns. The Longhorn’s defense allows 32.5 points per game, 209.2 rushing yards per game, and 240.5 passing yards per game with eight interceptions and 14 sacks. Steve Edmond has 45 tackles, Kenn Vaccaro has 43 tackles, and Adrian Phillips has 38 tackles. The Texas defense has allowed big numbers the past two weeks and are looking like a beaten bunch.
The Baylor Bears can light up the scoreboard but Art Briles team is having problems stopping their opponents from doing the same. Nick Florence has completed 63.6 percent of his passes with 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Jarred Salubi is averaging 4.6 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Glasco Martin is averaging 3.7 yards per carry with five touchdowns. Terrance Williams leads the Baylor receivers with 37 catches and eight touchdowns, Lanear Sampson has 25 catches and three touchdowns, and Tevin Reese has 23 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively Baylor allows 41.6 points per game, 186.4 rushing yards, and 372.4 passing yards with six interceptions and eight sacks. Bryce Hager has 61 tackles, Ahamad Dixon has 48 tackles, and Eddie Lackey has 42 tackles. There weren’t high expectations for Baylor this year but the Bears have proved to be a lot of fun to watch.
Texas is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven Big 12 games, 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record, and 1-4 against the spread following a loss by 20 or more points. Baylor is 4-1 against the spread in their last five Big 12 games, 2-5 against the spread following a loss, and 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 15-7 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover. The road team has covered the spread in 10 of the last 14 meetings of these two.
Look for points to be plentiful as we have a lot of offense and not much defense and this one should sail over the total.