St. Louis Rams vs. New England Patriots
The St. Louis Rams and the New England Patriots meet on Sunday in St. Louis in an NFC vs. AFC NFL football battle. The Patriots are -7 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 46.5.
The St. Louis Rams are a team on the rise but they still have plenty of improvement to make before they can compete in the NFL on a weekly basis. QB Sam Bradford has completed 59.8 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and six interceptions but he has been sacked 21 times. Steven Jackson continues to grind it out in the Rams backfield gaining 3.8 yards per carry and catching 10 passes and rookie Daryl Richardson is averaging 5.1 yards per carry and has 10 catches. Brandon Gibson has 25 catches as the Rams are still looking for a top wide receiver, Lance Kendricks has 16 catches, and Steve Smith has 11 catches. Defensively St. Louis allows 20.1 points per game, 98.9 rushing yards, and 225.6 passing yards with right interceptions and 21 sacks. James Laurinaitis has 69 tackles, Robert Quinn has seven sacks, and Cortland Finnegan has 47 tackles and three interceptions. The Rams have been competitive but they were purely outclassed by the Packers last Sunday.
The New England Patriots are in first place in the AFC East but it has been no walk in the park this year for the favorites to make the Super Bowl from the AFC. Tom Brady has completed 65.3 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions while getting sacked 14 times. Steven Ridley has been the primary option in the backfield averaging 4.4 yards per carry with four touchdowns but Danny Woodhead, Brandon Bolden, and Shane Vereen have all gotten carries. Wes Welker has 54 catches and four touchdowns, Rob Gronkowski has 35 catches and five touchdowns, Brandon Lloyd has 35 catches, and Aaron Hernandez is back from injury and has 17 catches and two touchdowns. Defensively New England allows 23.3 points per game, 86 rushing yards per game, and 290 passing yards per game with seven interceptions and 15 sacks. Jerod Mayo leads the patriots with 72 tackles, Chandler Jones has five sacks, and Rob Ninkovich has four sacks. The Patriots haven’t been running it up on teams like we have seen in the past and their games have been more of a battle than we have seen in recent years.
St. Louis is 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and 6-0 against the spread after accumulating 350 or more yards their previous game. New England is 11-5 against the spread following a game in which they didn’t cover, 1-4 against the spread following a win, and 20-7-1 against the spread in their last 28 October games. The underdog has covered five in a row in the last five meetings of these two teams.
Getting a touchdown with a home team in most cases in the NFL is a good starting point so getting that here is the play for me though it is just a lean.
St. Louis Rams +7 New England Patriots