New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers and the New York Giants meet on Sunday in San Francisco for a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game. The 49ers are -4.5 point favorites over the Giants with an over/under point total set at 45.
The San Francisco 49ers came within a game of the Super Bowl last season and this year they look determined to make it all the way. QB Alex Smith has turned up his game completing 68.6 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and one interception while the Niners have added a new wrinkle with backup Colin Kaepernick who has run for two touchdowns. Frank Gore has been outstanding averaging 5.4 yards per carry and scoring four touchdowns and Kendall Hunter is averaging 5.4 yards per carry in relief. Michael Crabtree has 27 catches, Vernon Davis has 20 catches and four touchdowns, and Mario Manningham has 19 catches. Defensively San Francisco is allowing just 13.6 points per game, 81.4 rushing yards, and 181.2 passing yards with four interceptions and nine sacks. NaVorro Bowman has 49 tackles, Patrick Willis has 42 tackles, and Aldon Smith has 4.5 sacks to lead the 49ers defense. The 49ers have a revenge factor here and also beat the Giants at home in the regular season last year.
The New York Giants are looking to defend their Super Bowl crown but with both of their losses coming in their division, overall record is going to be an even bigger factor for them. Eli Manning has had a different group of receivers each week but he has completed 65 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions and he has avoided trouble being sacked just four times. Ahmad Bradshaw is averaging 5.1 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Andre Brown has found a place averaging 5.2 yards per carry and scoring three touchdowns. Hakeem Nicks has been injured so it has been Victor Cruz leading the way with 37 catches and five touchdowns, Martellus Bennett has 19 catches and three touchdowns, and Domenik Hixon has 15 catches. Defensively the Giants are allowing 22.2 points per game, 111.4 rushing yards, and 261.4 passing yards with eight interceptions and eight sacks. Antrelle Rolle has 29 tackles, Chase Blackburn has 26 tackles and two sacks, and Michael Boley has three interceptions. The Giants aren’t 100 percent but they are still getting it done.
San Francisco is 4-1 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record, 13-4-1 against the spread in their last 18 games against NFC teams, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record. New York is 8-1-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 8-2-1 against the spread in their last 11 games overall, and 6-1-1 against the spread following a win. New York has covered in six of the last seven meetings of these two.
Look for this one to be a playoff style of game and for the running game and defense to play a major role making it a lower scoring game that falls under the total.