Miami Dolphins vs. St. Louis Rams
The Miami Dolphins and the St. Louis Rams battle it out in Miami in a battle of rebuilding NFL teams. The Dolphins are -3.5 point favorites over the Rams with an over/under point total set at 38.
It’s a new attitude for the Miami Dolphins and after losing two games in a row in overtime they managed to bounce back with a solid win over the Bengals in Cincinnati. Ryan Tannehill is learning through experience and he has completed 57.4 with two touchdowns and six interceptions. Reggie Bush seems intent on proving he is an every down back as he is averaging 4.8 yards per carry wuth three touchdowns and he has 12 catches out of the backfield and Daniel Thomas is averaging 3.1 yards per carry. Brian Hartline is having a breakout year with 29 catches and a touchdown, Davone Bess has 22 catches, and Anthony Fasano has 18 catches. The Dolphin defense allows 20.6 points per game, 61.4 rushing yards per game, and 281.8 passing yards per game with seven interceptions and 15 sacks. Karlos Dansby has 37 tackles, Cameron Wake has 5.5 sacks, and Sean Lee and Reshad Jones have two interceptions each. Miami is just a few plays away from having just one loss but Joe Philbin appears to have this team headed in the right direction.
The St. Louis Rams are one of the most improved teams in football thus far this year as they have gone from the number two pick in the NFL draft to a winning record through five games. Sam Bradford has completed 57.5 percent of his passes with six touchdowns and five interceptions while being sacked 15 times. Steven Jackson is averaging 3.5 yards per carry and Daryl Richardson is averaging 4.7 yards per carry but the Rams don’t have a rushing touchdown. Danny Amendola has 32 catches and two touchdowns, Brandon Gibson has 13 catches and two touchdowns, and Lance Kendricks has 10 catches. Defensively is where the Rams are strongest allowing 18.8 points per game, 117.2 rushing yards, and 218.2 yards passing with eight interceptions and 15 sacks. James Laurinaitis has 49 tackles to lead the Rams defense while Robert Quinn has six sacks and Cortland Finnegan has three interceptions. It’s clear the Rams aren’t a doormat any longer, it’s just a matter of how much they have progressed.
Miami is 9-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 12-3 against the spread in their last 15 games overall, and 22-50-1 against the spread in their last 73 home games. St. Louis is5-1 against the spread in their last six games overall, 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 road games, and 1-7 against the spread against a team with a losing record. The home team has covered in the last four meetings of these two.
Look for a defensive battle and a close game and with the Rams getting more than a field goal it’s a must take as far as points as it should be closer than that either way.
St. Louis Rams +3.5 Miami Dolphins