Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens face off on Sunday in Arrowhead Stadium in an AFC NFL week five match up.  The Ravens are -5 point favorites over the Chiefs with an over/under point total set at 46.

The Kansas City Chiefs are reaching desperate times early in the season as they can’t afford another loss or they may slide too far back in the division standings and need to jump too many teams to catch up. QB Matt Cassel is back after missing most of last season with an injury bit he is struggling completing 58.4 percent of his passes for five touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jamaal Charles has looked impressive averaging 5.8 yards per carry and scoring two touchdowns and catching 12 passes, Shaun Draughn is averaging 5.4 yards per carry, and Peyton Hillis is averaging 4.4 yards per carry. Dwayne Bowe leads the Chiefs’ receivers with 25 catches and three touchdowns, Dexter McCluster has 15 catches, and Jon Baldwin has 10 catches. Kansas City allows 34 points per game, 118 rushing yards per game, and 216 passing yards per game with two interceptions and eight sacks. Derrick Johnson has 32 tackles, Eric Berry has 20 tackles, and Justin Houston has four sacks. The Chiefs are minus 13 in turnovers and you need look no further than that to see why they are where they are in the standings.

The Baltimore Ravens are thinking this is the year they get back to and win the Super Bowl and thus far they are playing like a team on that mission. QB Joe Flacco has completed 63.5 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and three interceptions and he has been sacked nine times. Ray Rice is averaging 5.0 yards per carry with three touchdowns also adding 22 catches and Bernard Piece has played well in relief averaging 5.2 yards per carry. Anquan Boldin has 19 catches and a touchdown, Dennis Pita has 18 catches and two touchdowns, Torrey Smith has 16 catches and three touchdowns, and Jacoby Jones has nine catches and a touchdown. Defensively the Ravens allow 20.8 points per game, 94.5 rushing yards per game, and 295.8 passing yards per game with four interceptions and nine sacks. Ray Lewis has 33 tackles and a sack, Dannell Ellerbee has 25 tackles and 2.5 sacks, and Ed Reed has 18 tackles and two interceptions. The Ravens are plus four in turnovers and their one loss this season was a one point loss on the road in Philadelphia.

Kansas City is 1-4 against the spread in their last five AFC games, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven home games, and 0-6 against the spread following a double digit home loss. Baltimore is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games, 0-4 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 13-6-1 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover the spread. The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.

This line looks way too light and while a lot of the Chiefs’ issues are due to turnovers the Ravens are solid at causing them as well and protecting the ball, there is only one way to play this.

Pick

Baltimore Ravens -5 Kansas City Chiefs

October 6, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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