Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders

The Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders face off on Sunday in Denver in an AFC West NFL rivalry game.  The Broncos are -5.5 point favorites over the Raiders with an over/under point total set at 47.5.

The Denver Broncos have now lost two in a row after opening with a win and with this being their third home game the time for them to win is now. QB Peyton Manning has shown signs that he still has something left in the tank but he also is showing plenty of rust completing 60 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and three interceptions and he has been sacked eight times. Willis McGahee is averaging 4.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Lance Ball is averaging 3.4 yards per carry. Eric Decker has 17 catches, Demaryius Thomas has 16 catches and two touchdowns, and Brandon Stokley has 11 catches and a touchdown as the Broncos have spread the ball around. Defensively Denver has allowed 25.7 points per game, 98 rushing yards per game, and 233.7 passing yards per game with two interceptions and seven sacks. Wesley Woodyard has 20 tackles, Rahim Moore has 19 tackles, and Von Miller has three sacks to lead the Broncos defense. It’s tough to call a week four game a must win but this one is just that for the Broncos.

The Oakland Raiders got their first win of the year last week as they battled for a full 60 minutes and knocked off the Steelers. Carson Palmer has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and two interceptions while being sacked four times. Darren McFadden is averaging 3.8 yards per carry with a touchdown and he also has 17 receptions. Brandon Myers has 15 catches and Denarius Moore and Derek Hagan have eight catches each as the Raiders are likely to be without Darrius Heyward-Bey who suffered a concussion last week. Defensively Oakland allows 29.3 points per game, 116.3 rushing yards per game, and 264.7 passing yards with three sacks and no interceptions. Phillip Wheeler has 24 tackles, Tyvon Branch 22 tackles, and Matt Shaughnessy has 1.5 sacks. The Raiders haven’t made it look pretty but they are just a game behind the leaders in the AFC West.

Denver is 11-23-2 against the spread against the AFC West, 8-24-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games overall. Oakland is 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 games against the AFC West, 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record. The road team has covered in seven of the last eight meetings of these two.

While both of these defenses have players who can get to the QB, neither has stopped too many teams either and I look for this game to be high scoring and to go over the total.

Pick

Over 47.5

October 1, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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