Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins

The Cincinnati Bengals and the Miami Dolphins face off on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium in a NFL match up.  The Bengals are -4 point favorites over the Dolphins with an over/under point total set at 43.

The Cincinnati Bengals were a playoff team a year ago and after a 3-1 start it looks like they have a good chance of being one again this season. QB Andy Dalton looks to be a year better completing 67.5 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and four interceptions while being sacked 12 times. BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been an upgrade to the running game averaging 3.5 yards per carry and catching six passes. A.J. Green is bound to be a star with 27 catches and three touchdowns thus far, Jermaine Gresham has 17 catches and a touchdown, and Andrew Hawkins has 15 catches and two touchdowns. Defensively the Bengals allow 28 points per game with 133. 5 yards rushing per game, and 232 yards passing per game with one interception and 17 sacks. Rey Maualuga has 33 tackles, Reggie Nelson has 29 tackles, and Geno Atkins has five sacks. Many thought the Bengals would take a step back this season but they might be taking a step forward.

The Miami Dolphins have lost their last two games in overtime and that has been the difference between being 3-1 and the 1-3 they currently stand at. Rookie QB Ryan Tannehill has a lot to learn but he has a gunslinger mentality completing 55.9 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and six interceptions. Reggie Bush is proving he can be an every down back averaging 5.5 yards per carry with two touchdowns and catching 10 passes while Daniel Thomas is averaging 3.2 yards per carry and Lamar Miller is averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. Brian Hartline is Tannehill’s favorite target catching 25 passes and Davone Bess has 20 catches for the Dolphins. The Miami defense allows 22.5 points per game, 56.8 rushing yards, and 297.8 passing yards per game with five interceptions and 12 sacks. Karlos Dansby leads the Dolphins with 32 tackles, Cameron Wake has 4.5 sacks, and Sean Smith has two interceptions. If Miami can turn close losses into wins they can turn their season around.

Cincinnati is 6-1-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 1-7-2 against the spread in their last 10 games against AFC teams, and 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six home games. Miami is 8-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 11-3 against the spread in their last 14 games overall, and 23-9-1 against the spread in their last 33 road games. The road team has covered the spread in the last four meetings of these two.

We have two teams with solid defenses who get after the QB and I have this one coming in under the total

Pick

Under 43

October 6, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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