Baltimore Ravens vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Baltimore Ravens and the Dallas Cowboys face off on Sunday in Baltimore in what should be a hard hitting NFL clash.  The Ravens are -3.5 point favorites over the Cowboys with an over/under point total set at 44.

The Baltimore Ravens are a team on a mission and they lead the tough and physical AFC North as they head into week six. Joe Flacco may never be an elite QB but he can get the job done as he has completed 61.2 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and four interceptions and he has been sacked 13 times. Ray Rice is one of the premier backs in the NFL and he is averaging 5.2 yards per carry with three touchdowns and he has 23 catches out of the backfield and Bernard Pierce has looked effective in a backup role averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Anquan Boldin leads the Ravens receivers with 23 catches, tight end Dennis Pita has 21 catches, and Torrey Smith has 19 catches. Defensively the Ravens have been bending but not breaking allowing 17.8 points per game, 118.4 rushing yards, and 261.4 passing yards with six interceptions and nine sacks. Ray Lewis has 43 tackles, Dannell Ellerbee has 2.5 sacks, and Ed Reed and Cary Williams each have two interceptions. The Ravens haven’t been rolling opponents but playing a physical style and winning close games.

The Dallas Cowboys looked like they were going to be contenders when they won their opener on national TV but since then it has been a rocky road of inconsistency. Tony Romo has simply not been good enough at QB completing 66.9 percent of his passes but he has five touchdowns and eight interceptions as his chemistry with his receivers hasn’t been there. Demarco Murray has been somewhat disappointing in the backfield as the expectations were huge but he is averaging 3.9 yards per carry with one touchdown and he has caught 16 passes out of the backfield. Dez Bryant has caught 21 passes but looks confused, Jason Witten has 21 catches and a touchdown but appears to have lost a step, and Miles Austin has 18 catches and three touchdowns. Defensively Dallas allows 22 points per game, 108 rushing yards, and 169.5 passing yards with just one interception and nine sacks. Sean Lee has 47 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 21 tackles and 5.0 sacks, and Anthony Spencer has 21 tackles and 2.0 sacks. The expectations were fairly big for the Cowboys this year but if they don’t make some adjustments this season can get away from them in a hurry.

Baltimore is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, 11-5 against the spread after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, and 6-1 against the spread after allowing over 150 yards rushing the previous week. Dallas is 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall.

I see the Ravens winning this one but I also see it being close with the Ravens winning late or Dallas coming up short on a chance to win or tie but getting more than a field goal I have the Cowboys covering the number.

Pick

Dallas Cowboys +3.5 Baltimore Ravens

October 10, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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