Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Kentucky Wildcats

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in Fayetteville as they both look to get some positive momentum going in the SEC.  The Razorbacks are -14 point favorites over the Wildcats.

The Arkansas Razorbacks finally got their first SEC win of the year and ended a four game losing streak as they knocked off Auburn last week and they know it isn’t too late to salvage something out of this season and get to a bowl game. QB Tyler Wilson has completed 58 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Knile Davis is averaging just 3.2 yards per carry in the Arkansas running game with two touchdowns and Dennis Johnsontook over on Saturday and is averaging 5.6 yards per carry with three touchdowns. Cobi Hamilton leads the Hogs receivers with 38 catches and four touchdowns, Austin Tate has eight catches, and Mekale Mckay has 10 catches. Defensively Arkansas is allowing 42 points per game, 140.7 rushing yards, and 338 passing yards with four interceptions and 15 sacks. Alonzo Highsmith has 54 tackles and two sacks, Ross Rasner has 47 tackles and two interceptions, and Rohan Gaines has 42 tackles. The big question here is will Arkansas be able to maintain the momentum they seem to have found last week.

It’s been a tough year for the Kentucky Wildcats as they just don’t seem to have what it takes this season to even be competitive and the seat is getting hot for head Coach Joker Phillips. QB Maxwell Smith has completed 68.7 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and four interceptions. Raymond Sanders is averaging 5.7 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Jonathan George is averaging 4.3 yards per carry with three touchdowns as UK tries to muster any kind of offense it can get going. La’Rod King is Kentucky’s leading receiver with 30 catches and three touchdowns, Demarco Robinson has 21 catches, and Aaron Boyd has 18 catches and a touchdown. Defensively UK allows 30.2 points per game, 187 rushing yards, and 209 passing yards with two interceptions and 15 sacks. Avery Williamson has 64 tackles and an interception, Alvin Dupree has 44 tackles and 3.5 sacks, and Martavius Neloms has 40 tackles. Kentucky looks to be in for a rough ride the rest of the way this season.

Arkansas is 5-2 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 15-7 against the spread in their last 22 SEC games, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall. Kentucky is 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record, 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 road games, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall. The underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.

I am not sold on Arkansas and their 42 points allowed per game and while this should be an easy win for them at home, I can’t give John L. Smith the benefit of a doubt against anyone and Kentucky and the big points are my very small play here.

Pick

Kentucky Wildcats +16 Arkansas Wildcats

October 14, 2012 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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