Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers

The Missouri Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday in SEC college football action.  The Tide are -21 point favorites over the Tigers.

The Missouri Tigers continue seek their first SEC win as they have realized life in their new conference is tougher than they could have ever imagined. QB James Franklin has completed 61.3 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and two interceptions but the offense has struggled as he has rushed for just 1.5 yards per attempt. Kendial Lawrence leads the Missouri ground attack with 5.7 yards per carry and five touchdowns and he also has 10 receptions and Marcus Murphy averages 6.4 yards per carry on light action. Marcus Lucas has 30 catches and two touchdowns, T.J. Moe has 24 catches and a touchdown, and Gahn McGaffie has 18 catches. Defensively Missouri allows 22.8 points per game, 107.5 rushing yards, and 219.2 passing yards with five interceptions and 15 sacks. Will Ebner has 41 tackles and E.J. Gaines and Sheldon Richardson each have 38 tackles while Richardson has three sacks as well. Missouri had several suspensions last week against Vandy which didn’t help their cause in a disappointing loss.

The Alabama Crimson Tide had a bye last week but they have been nothing short of impressive thus far this year. QB A.J. McCarron has completed 65.8 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and no interceptions. The Tide once again have a talented backfield led by Eddie Lacy averaging 4.9 yards per carry with four touchdowns, T.J. Yeldon averaging 5.8 yards with two touchdowns, and Kenyan Drake averaging 9.7 yards with three touchdowns. Amari Copper leads the Alabama receivers with 17 catches and three touchdowns and Kevin Norwood and Christion Jones each have nine catches with five touchdowns between them. Defensively Alabama is a rock allowing just 7.0 points per game, 65.8 rushing yards per game, and 125.8 passing yards per game with nine interceptions and 16 sacks. C.J. Mosley has 39 tackles, 1.5 sacks, and an interception, Nico Johnson has 24 tackles, and Trey Depriest has 21 tackles. It is going to take a big effort to beat Bama this season as they have shown no signs they are going to try and beat themselves with bad mistakes.

Missouri is 5-0 against the spread following a loss, 8-1 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, and 2-7 against the spread in their last nine home games against a team with a winning record. Alabama is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games, 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 SEC games, and 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games on field turf.

I am not expecting Mizzou to knock off the Tide here but I am expecting them to give it 100 percent and to not get run over. This is a generous number for the home team and I’ll cautiously take my chances in what is a slight lean.

Pick

Missouri Tigers +21 Alabama Crimson Tide

October 8, 2012 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.