Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi St. Bulldogs

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off on Saturday in Tuscaloosa in a battle of undefeated SEC teams.  The Crimson Tide are -24 point favorites over the Bulldogs with an over/under total set at 47.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are the number one ranked team in the nation and they don’t look like they are going to beat themselves so it is going to take for a team to stand up for them for the Tide to fall this year. A.J. McCarron has completed 68.8 percent of his passes with 16 touchdowns. Eddie Lacy is averaging 5.8 yards per carry with seven touchdowns and T.J. Yeldon averages 6.8 yards per carry with six touchdowns to power the Alabama running game. Amari Cooper is the Tide’s leading receiver with 28 catches and five touchdowns, Kevin Norwood has 14 catches and two touchdowns, and Christion Jones has 12 catches and three touchdowns. The Bama defense has been rock solid allowing just 8.3 points per game, 58.7 yards rushing, and 136.9 passing yards per game with 13 interceptions and 19 sacks. C.J. Mosley has 58 tackles, 2.5 sacks, and two interceptions and Nico Johnson and Trey DePriest have 30 tackles each. Alabama has overmatched everyone they have played in every aspect of the game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs enter this week’s game undefeated but they also have the bulk of their SEC schedule ahead of them and the much tougher part of it as well. Tyler Russell has completed 60.1percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns and one interception. LaDarius Perkins is averaging 5.8 yards per carry with eight touchdowns to lead MSU while Derrick Milton averages 6.8 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Chad Bumphis leads Mississippi State receivers with 29 catches and six touchdowns, Chris Smith has 26 catches and two touchdowns, and Arceto Clark and Marcus Green have 15 catches each. Defensively Mississippi State allows 14.4 points per game, 139.1 rushing yards , and 188.6 passing yards with 12 interceptions and 11 sacks. Bernardrick McKinney has 55 tackles that leads the Bulldogs, Cameron Lawrence has 49 tackles, and Nickoe Whitley 45 tackles. This is a big test for Mississippi State and they simply can’t afford to turn the ball over.

Alabama is 5-1 against the spread in their last six SEC games, 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games, and 12-4 against the spread following a win by 20 or more points. Mississippi State is 4-0 against the spread in their last five SEC games, 5-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 games overall. The home team has covered four of the last five meetings of these two.

Mississippi State has benefitted from a light schedule but at the same time they haven’t stumbled and might be getting just a few too many points here so the play is talking the four scores.

Pick

Mississippi St. Bulldogs +24 Alabama Crimson Tide

October 24, 2012 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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