Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees meet on Monday for game one of their huge series at Tropicana Field. The Rays are -120 favorites over the Yankees with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the outside looking in when it comes to the post season but they can do a lot to help their own cause in this series against the Yankees. The Rays are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 25-30 at home this season, and they are 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard and 3.5 games back in the American League East. As a team the Rays are hitting .237 with Sam Fuld hitting .306, Evan Longoria hitting .287, and Ben Zobrist at .268. As a team the Rays pitching staff has an ERA of 3.26 with the starters at 3.47 and the bullpen at 2.83. For game one against the Yankees Tampa Bay starts James Shields who has won four of his last five decisions. For the season Shields has allowed 181 hits and 79 earned runs while striking out 176 over 182 innings for a 3.91 ERA.
The New York Yankees are struggling and they are looking to turn things around fast as their lead is fading in the AL East. The Yankees are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 35-29 on the road this season, and they have a two game lead in the AL East. As a team the Yankees are hitting .263 Derek Jeter hitting .317, Robinson Cano hitting .303, and Eric Chavez hitting .291. As a team the Yankees pitching staff has an ERA of 3.84 with the starters at 4.03 and the bullpen at 3.40. For game one against the Rays New York starts C.C. Sabathia who is coming off of a loss in his last start. For the season Sabathia has allowed 149 hits and 59 earned runs while striking out 157 over 156 innings for a 3.40 ERA.
Tampa Bay is 6-1 in their last seven games against a left handed starter, 1-4 in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record, and 5-1 in Shields’ last six starts. New York is 2-5 in their last seven road games, 1-7 in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, and 41-18 in Sabathia’s last 59 road starts. New York is 5-11 in the last 16 meetings of these two.
Runs are going to be tough to come by here so the under is a solid play.