St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
The St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Mets meet on Monday for game one of their series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are -150 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The St. Louis Cardinals are looking to repeat as World Series Champions and if the season ended today they would be in the playoffs. The Cardinals are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 40-26 at home this season, and they have a game and a half lead for the second spot in the NL Wildcard. As a team the Cardinals are hitting .275 with Yadier Molina hitting .322, Allen Craig hitting .309, and Matt Holliday hitting .305. As a team the Cardinals pitching staff has an ERA of 3.82 with the starters at 3.72 and the bullpen at 4.02. For game one against the Mets St. Louis starts Joe Kelly who has been pitching both out of the bullpen and starting of late. For the season Kelly has allowed 92 hits and 33 earned runs while striking out 58 over 82.1 innings for a 3.61 ERA.
The New York Mets have struggle the second half of the year but come into this one as winners of their last three games. The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 34-35 on the road this season, and they are 17.5 games back in the NL East. As a team the Mets are hitting .252 with David Wright hitting .314, Ruben Tejada hitting .295, and Daniel Murphy hitting .285. As a team the Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 4.07 with the starters at 3.76 and the bullpen at 4.77. For game one against the Cardinals New York starts Collin McHugh who makes his second major League starts. In his first outing McHugh allowed two hits and struck out nine over seven scoreless innings.
St. Louis is 21-7 in their last 28 home games, 1-5 in their last six games against the NL East, and 2-5 in Kelly’s last seven starts. New York is 8-1 in their last nine games overall, 6-1 in their last seven games against a right handed starter, and 5-11 in their last 16 games against the NL Central. The Mets have won four of the last five meetings of these two.
There is simply too much value here on the Mets to pass up as McHugh could be something special and they come in red hot.
New York Mets +150 St. Louis Cardinals