Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet on Monday for game one of their series of bottom feeders in the NL East.  The Phillies are -155 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 8.5 runs.

The expectations were high for the Philadelphia Phillies but they didn’t translate into results as for the first time in several seasons the Phillies will be on the outside looking in at the MLB postseason. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 34-37 at home this season, and they are 17.5 games back in the NL East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .255 with Kevin Frandsen hitting .336, Juan Pierre hitting .305, and Erik Kratz hitting .270. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 3.96 with the starters at 3.79 and the bullpen at 4.39. For game one against Marlins Philadelphia starts Kyle Kendrick who lost last time out to end a personal four game winning streak. For the season Kendrick has allowed 131 hits and 58 earned runs while striking out 93 over 131.2 innings of work for a 3.96 ERA.

The Miami Marlins loaded up this past offseason in hopes of making the post season but instead they are in the basement of the National League East. The Marlins are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 31-41 on the road this season, and they are 23.5 games out in the division. As a team the Marlins are hitting .246 with Giancarlo Stanton hitting .286, Jose Reyes hitting .282, and Austin Kearns hitting .248. As a team the Marlins pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18 with the starters at 4.20 and the bullpen at 4.15. For game one against the Phillies Miami starts Wade LeBlanc who has been alternating between starting and the bullpen this season. For the year LeBlanc has allowed 51 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 32 over 53 innings for a 2.72 ERA.

Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games overall, 8-0 in their last eight home games against a left handed starter, and 4-1 in Kendrick’s last five starts. Miami is 4-1 in their last five road games against a right handed starter, 2-5 in their last seven games against the NL East, and 2-6 in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. Miami has won six of the last eight meetings of these two.

These are two bad an inconsistent teams so the play is on the value and that is on Miami.

Pick

Miami Marlins +135 Philadelphia Phillies

September 11, 2012 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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