New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers

The New York Jets and the San Francisco 49ers face off on Sunday in a battle of 2-1 NFL teams.  The 49ers are -4 point favorites over the Jets with an over/under point total set at 40.5.

The New York Jets have been a Jekyll and Hyde this season as they have looked really good in spurts and have looked awful at other times but overall it has added up to a winning record and first place in the AFC East. QB Mark Sanchez has had his moments both ways this year completing just 50.5 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and three interceptions while being sacked just three times. Shonn Greene is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry with one touchdown while Bilal Powell has seen increased action averaging four yards per carry. Santonio Holmes has 16 catches and a touchdown, Jeremy Kerley has eight catches and two touchdowns, and Stephen Hill has five catches and two touchdowns. Defensively the Jets allow an average of 25 points per game and 148.7 yards per game rushing and 218.7 yards per game passing with four interceptions and three sacks. David Harris has 26 tackles, Yeremiah Bell has 21 tackles, and Bart Scott has 19 tackles. The Jets have lost Darrelle Revis for the season so that will move things around in the secondary and losing one of the NFL’s top corners can’t help their chances of continued success.

The San Francisco 49ers were looking like the NFL’s top team through the first two weeks of the season but they stumbled in week three at Minnesota and look to avoid falling to .500. QB Alex Smith has been sacked plenty, 10 times, but he has played within himself completing 69.6 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and an interception. Frank Gore is averaging 5.9 yards per carry with two touchdowns to lead the Niners running attack and Kendall Hunter is averaging 3.6 yards per carry. Michael Crabtree has 19 catches, Vernon Davis has four catches, and Mario Manningham has 12 catches as the 49ers have many more options in their passing attack than they did last season. Defensively San Francisco is allowing 21.7 points per game and 91 rushing yards per game and 230.3 yards passing with two interceptions and five sacks. NaVorro Bowman has 37 tackles, Patrick Willis has 25 tackles, and Aldon Smith has 2.5 sacks. The 49ers fell back to Earth quickly last week as they have a very good team but still have plenty to work on.

New York is 1-5 against the spread in their last six home games against a team with a winning record, 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 September games, and 205 against the spread after allowing more than 150 rushing yards the previous week. San Francisco is 14-4-3 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover the spread, 18-6-2 against the spread following a loss, and 6-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record. The underdog has covered in the last four meetings of these two.

These are two teams who know how to hit and look for points to be tough to come by as it falls under the total.

Pick

Under 40.5

September 27, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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