New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

The New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills start their 2012 NFL seasons with an AFC East battle in the Meadowlands.  The Jets are -6 point favorites over the Bills with an over/under point total set at 42.5.

The New York Jets ended their season in disappointment last year as the wheels were coming off of the cart and this year they look to reestablish themselves as a contender. QB mark Sanchez has some work to do to prove himself to the Jets’ faithful and with Tim Tebow in the fold Sanchez will need to perform to keep the media in check. Shonn Greene has showed flashes of being a top notch running back but he lacks consistency while Joe McKnight has shown versatility. Santonio Holmes and rookie Stephen Hill get the start at receiver and Dustin Keller is a reliable target at tight end. Nick Mangold and D’Brickshaw Ferguson make up the better of the offensive line but Sanchez is going to need time if he is going to be effective at all. Defensively Bart Scott and David Harris anchor the middle of the linebacking crew but the strength of this unit is the secondary where Darrelle Revis is one of the top shut down corners in the NFL. While Antonio Cromartie is a liability tackling wise safety LaRon Landry is a hitter though he has questionable cover skills. The Jets will be hard pressed to challenge for the playoffs this year.

The Buffalo Bills looked to be headed for the playoffs early last season then a rash of injuries and underperformance led to a poor finish and once again a high choice in the NFL draft. Ryan Fitzpatrick looked to be a solid NFL QB for the first part of the year but struggled badly down the stretch. Fred Jackson looked to be having a Pro Bowl year last season before he was injured and he looks to regain that form as C.J. Spiller is better as a situational player. Stevie Johnson is one of the better receivers in football and Brad Smith is one of the NFL’s most versatile players. Defensively Buffalo spent big money on free agent Mario Williams to bring the heat and Marcell Dareus anchors the middle of the line. Kelvin Sheppard roams the middle of the field and the Buffalo secondary is strong with Jarius Byrd, Aaron Williams, George Wilson and first round draft choice Stephon Gilmore. The Bills are hoping they can finish what they started but the same question marks remain as far as offensive depth.

New York is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against AFC teams, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games overall, and 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against the AFC. Buffalo is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven road games, and 6-1 against the spread in their last seven season openers. The underdog is 10-3 against the spread in the last 13 meetings of these two.

We shouldn’t be expecting a ton of scoring in this one and I look for it come in under the total.

Pick

Under 42.5

September 8, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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