Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers

The Minnesota Vikings and the San Francisco 49ers face off on Sunday in Minnesota in a NFL NFC matchup.  The 49ers are -7 point favorites over the Vikings with an over/under point total set at 43.5.

The Minnesota Vikings looked like they were on their way at least to overtime last week when they let the Colts and Andrew Luck come back to set up a long field goal to lose in regulation. The Vikings don’t seem to get started until later in games but QB Christian Ponder is vastly improved over a year ago as he has completed 75.8 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and an interception while being sacked six times. Adrian Peterson looks healthy averaging 4.4 yards per carry and scoring two touchdowns while also having four catches. Percy Harvin is the go to receiver for the Vikings as he has 18 catches and Kyle Rudolph and Michael Jenkins have eight catches each. Defensively the Vikings allowed 316.5 yards per game with 98.5 of them coming on the ground and 218 coming through the air and they have four sacks thus far. Erin Henderson has 22 tackles and two sacks, Chad Greenway has 20 tackles, and Antoine Winfield has 10 tackles. The Vikings look to be better than they were a year ago but they need to find their best game earlier to avoid being in a nail biter every week.

The San Francisco 49ers are arguable looking like the best team in the NFL knocking off two playoff teams from a year ago in their first two games, the Packers and the Lions. Alex Smith has completed 70.2 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and no interceptions but he has been sacked seven times. Frank Gore is simply one of the best backs in the game averaging 6.1 yards per carry and scoring two touchdowns and Kendall Hunter is averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Michael Crabtree leads the 49ers with 13 receptions, Vernon Davis has eight catches and three touchdowns, Mario Manningham has seven catches, and Randy Moss has five catches. The San Francisco defense allows 310 yards per game with just 63.5 of those coming on the ground and 246.5 of them coming on the ground with two interceptions and five sacks. NaVaorro Bowman has 19 tackles, Patrick Willis has 15 tackles, and Aldon Smith has two sacks. The 49ers are thinking Super Bowl and nothing less.

Minnesota is 1-4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 0-5 against the spread in their last five home games. San Francisco is 15-5-1 against the spread in their last 21 games against NFC teams, 18-7-1 against the spread in their last 26 games overall, and 12-3-1 against the spread after allowing 90 yards or less rushing their previous game. The home team has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings of these two.

This one should be low scoring and the books look to be dialed in on the number but I will go with the home dog to get the cover though I don’t see an outright win happening for them.

Pick

Minnesota Viking +7 San Francisco 49ers

September 21, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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