Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats

The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in Gainesville in SEC college football action.  The Gators are -23.5 point favorites over the Wildcats.

The Florida Gators are off to a 3-0 start and they are already headed into their third SEC game of the year in this one against UK. There were modest expectations from the Swamp this season but Florida has exceed those expectations including two wins on the road at Texas A&M and Tennessee. Jeff Driskel played extremely well in Knoxville on Saturday finding small windows to create big plays when he needed to and getting the ball to his playmakers where they had space to create and most importantly he hasn’t thrown an interception yet this season. Mike Gillislee has been a difference maker in the backfield averaging 6.2 yards per carry and scoring four touchdowns. Florida receivers have come up big as well as Jeff Reed leads the team in catches with 13 and Frankie Hammond has shown a lot of speed and ability scoring twice. Trey Burton has delivered when called upon as a versatile do it all type and Caleb Sturgis has been unflappable in the kicking game. Defensively Florida has used their athleticism to make up for what they are lacking in experience as they allow 1-6 yards per game on the ground and 227 yards through the air. Josh Evans leads the Gators with 21 tackles while Jon Bostic has 18 and Matt Elam has 16. Florida has a week off after this one before they host LSU.

The Kentucky Wildcats are one of the poorer teams in the SEC this season and the seat is getting warm for Head Coach Joker Phillips after last week’s home loss to WKU. QB Maxwell Smith has been inconsistent completing 68.5 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns but he has thrown four interceptions and while he was able to rally UK late against WKU to get them to OT and then to score a TD in the overtime, it wasn’t enough. The running game has been a game of musical chairs With Raymond Sanders, Joanthan George, and CoShik Williams all getting carries and being effective but the running game isn’t the emphasis of the Kentucky offense. La’Rod King has 23 catches and two touchdowns and Aaron Boyd has 18 catches as they both average 9.3 yards per carry. Defensively Kentucky has had trouble stopping the run allowing 188 yards per game while allowing 211 passing. Avery Williamson leads the defense with 33 tackles, Alvin Dupree has 24 tackles, and Martaveous Neloms has 21 tackles. After several years of solid football under former coach Rich Brooks UK appears to be only a basketball school once again.

Florida is 2-6 against the spread in their last eight SEC games, 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games overall, and 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six home games. Kentucky is 5-0 against the spread following a loss, 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 road games, and 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record. The favorite has covered in the last five meetings of these two.

This looks to be a mismatch but it also looks to be just too many points to be laying in a SEC conference game so it’s just a small lean but I am taking the 4 scores and UK.

Pick

Kentucky Wildcats +23.5 Florida Gators

September 19, 2012 by : Posted in College Football, Sportsbook No Comments

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