Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Dallas Cowboys and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers both look for their second wins of the season as they face off at Cowboys Stadium on Sunday.  The Cowboys are -7 point favorites over the Buccaneers with an over/under point total set at 45.5.

The Dallas Cowboys started their season with an impressive win over the Giants but in week two they were dominated by the Seahawks in Seattle and on the wrong side of a lopsided score. QB Tony Romo is once again putting up numbers as he has completed 65.2 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and three interceptions but he has been sacked three times. Demarco Murray is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and he also has six catches out of the backfield as he is clearly the featured back in Dallas. Kevin Ogletree and Miles Austin each have nine catches and two touchdowns to lead the Cowboys and Dez Bryant has seven catches. Defensively the Cowboys allow 292 yards per game with 132 of those coming on the ground and 160 in the air and they have five sacks but no interceptions. Sean Lee has 26 tackles and DeMarcus Ware and Anthony Spencer have two sacks each. Winning to on the road to start the season is a reach for anyone in the NFL and we will see what the Cowboys bring to the table for their home opener.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looked to be on their way to a 2-0 start last week in the Meadowlands but they allowed the Giants to come back and ended up taking the loss. QB Josh Freeman appears to be playing better than he did in the second half of last year and he has completed 59.6 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and two interceptions while being sacked four times. Doug Martin is getting the bulk of the carries in the Bucs backfield and he’s averaging 3.7 yards per carry with a touchdown and he has four catches out of the backfield. Vincent Jackson leads the Buccaneers’ receivers with nine catches and a touchdown, Mike Williams has five catches with two touchdowns, and Dallas Clark and Erik Lorig have five catches each. Defensively Tampa Bay allows 452.5 yards per game with just 52 of those coming on the ground and 400 through the air and they have five interceptions and three sacks. Mason Foster has 18 tackles and an interception, Lavonte David has 14 tackles, and Mark Barron has 13 tackles. There are going to be some growing pains for the Buccaneers but they seem to have things headed in the right direction.

Dallas is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine games overall, 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games, and 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games against NFL teams. Tampa Bay is 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 against the spread following a loss, and 23-9-1 against the spread following a game in which they scored 30 or more points. The favorite has covered five in a row in this series.

The Bucs defense is just too soft and while I think they are improving back to back road games will be their undoing here.

Pick

Dallas Cowboys -7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

September 21, 2012 by : Posted in NFL, Sportsbook No Comments

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