St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Los Angeles Dodgers face off on Monday in at Busch Stadium for game one of their series. The Cardinals are -145 favorites over the Dodgers with an over/under run total set at 9.
The St. Louis Cardinals are in a rough spot in the National League Central as they are playing good baseball but aren’t gaining any ground on the leaders. The Cardinals are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 26-20 at home this season, and they are five games back in the N.L. Central. As a team the Cardinals are hitting .275 with Matt Holliday hitting .321, Yadier Molina at .306, and David Freese at .305. As a team the Cardinals pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79 with the starters at 3.55 and the bullpen at 4.33. For game one against the Dodgers St. Louis starts Joe Kelly who hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his starts this year. For the season Kelly has allowed 41 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 25 over 39.1 innings of work for a 2.75 ERA.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are getting healthy but they still have plenty of work to do if they are going to make the post season. The Dodgers are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 23-24 on the road this season, and they are 1.5 games behind the Giants in the N.L. West. As a team the Dodgers are hitting .249 with Matt Kemp hitting .361, Andre Ethier hitting .294, and James Loney hitting .248. As a team the Didgers pitching staff has an ERA of 3.30 with the starters at 3.333 and the bullpen at 3.23. For game one at St. Louis Los Angeles starts Chad Billingsley who makes his return from the DL. For the season Billingsley has allowed 113 hits and 50 earned runs while striking out 100 over 104.2 innings of work for a 4.30 ERA.
St. Louis is 5-0 in their last five home games, 6-1 in their last seven games against the N.L. West, and 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of up to -150. Los Angeles is 10-19 in their last 29 games overall, 5-11 in their last 16 road games, and 0-5 in Billingsley’s last five starts. Los Angeles is 8-23 in their last 31 games in St. Louis.
Kelly has had some tough luck pitching well and those pitchers tend to eventually just have a bad outing which I look for here as the Dodgers have won the last seven meetings of these two and they make it eight here as a nice underdog.
Los Angeles Dodgers +125 St. Louis Cardinals