Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet on Tuesday for game one of their series in Baltimore. The Orioles are -135 favorites over the Rays with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Baltimore Orioles were one of the big surprises this year in baseball’s first half and while it looked like they were going to fade, they now look poised to make another run. The Orioles are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 23-22 at home this season, and they are seven games back in the A.L. East. As a team the Orioles are hitting .241 with Adam Jones hitting .292, Nick Markakis hitting .276, and Chris Davis hitting .258. As a team the Orioles pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05 with the starters at 4.60 and the bullpen at 3.08. For game one against the Rays Baltimore starts Wei-Yin Chen who own last time out to end a personal three decision losing streak. For the season Chen has allowed 106 hits and 49 earned runs while striking out 88 over 116 innings of work for a 3.80 ERA.
The Tampa Bay Rays are in fifth place in the A.L. Wildcard but they aren’t too far back to make a move quickly. The Rays are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 21-22 on the road this year, and they are 8.5 games back in the A.L. East. As a team the Rays are hitting .232 with Jeff Keppinger hitting .325, Ben Zobrist hitting .252, and B.J. Upton hitting .247. As a team the Rays pitching staff has an ERA of 3.67 with the starters at 3.82 and the bullpen at 3.36. For game one at Camden Yards Tampa Bay starts Jeremy Hellickson who has lost his last six decisions. For the season Hellickson has allowed 94 hits and 39 earned runs while striking out 63 over 99 innings of work for a 3.55 ERA.
Baltimore is 5-2 in their last seven games overall, 1-4 in their last five home games, and 5-1 in Chen’s last six home starts against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is 2-5 in their last seven road games, 1-4 in their last five games following an off day, and 0-5 in Hellickson’s last five starts. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in their last five games in Baltimore.
The total in this one is set at 8.5 but I can see it sliding over and that is my pick.