Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets battle for position in the National League East and the Wildcard race as they face off on Friday for game one of their series in Atlanta.  The Braves are -150 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 8.5.

The Atlanta Braves have run hot and cold this season with long winning streaks and long losing streaks. The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 20-22 at home this season, and four game sback in the N.L. East. As a team the Braves are hitting .259 with Martin Prado hitting .321, Michael Bourn hitting .311, and Chipper Jones hitting .318. As a team the Braves pitching staff has an ERA of 3.91 with the starters at 4.11 and the bullpen at 3.54. For game one against the Mets Atlanta starts Tim Hudson who has won three of his last four starts. For the season Hudson has allowed 78 hits and 34 earned runs while striking out 55 over 86 innings of work for a 3.56 ERA.

The New York Mets were one of the more surprising teams in the first half of the year and now they have a chance to parlay that into a spot in the post season. The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 20-20 on the road this season, and 4.5 games back in the N.L. East. As a team the Mets are hitting .259 with David Wright hitting .351, Daniel Murphy at .295, and Kirk Nieuwenhuis at .268. As a team the Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 3.97 with the starters at 3.55 and the bullpen at 4.94. For game one against the Braves New York starts Chris Young who has been steady this year. For the season Young has allowed 39 hits and 14 earned runs while striking out 21 over 37 innings for a 3.41 ERA.

Atlanta is 4-0 in their last four games overall, 8-2 in their last 10 games against the N.L. East, and 5-2 in Hudson’s last seven starts. New York is 6-1 in their last seven road games against a team with a winning record, 5-1 in their last six games against a right handed starter, and 5-1 in Young’s last six road starts. New York is 5-2 in the last seven meetings of these two.

The total is set at 8.5 but I look for pitching to get the best of it here and for it to stay under the total.

Pick

Under 8.5

July 13, 2012 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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