Miami Heat vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The Miami Heat return home to face the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the NBA Finals. The Heat are -4 point favorites over the Thunder with an over/under point total set at 194.
Head to head, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami, while the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Heat are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 playoff games as a favorite and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, but just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 NBA Championship games. The Thunder on the other hand are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
For the second straight game, the Miami Heat raced out of the blocks to take an double digit lead, however the difference this time was they were able to maintain their lead and thus, achieve what they came here to do by winning one of the first two games. First and foremost, this was a huge win for Miami, who would have been in a hole if they had lost the first two games. Not for the fact that they would have been down 0-2, but the Thunder would only have had to win one of the three games in Miami, then one of the either Game 6 or 7 to take out the championship.
Hindsight is a wonderful thing, but I really did want to take the Heat in Game 2. However, I was scared off by the low line and the fact that I didn’t know what we were going to get from Dwayne Wade after a couple of shaky performances in the Boston series and Game 1. Even though we saw good games from both Wade and Bosh in Game 2, I like the Thunder in this one. I have a hard time seeing them get off to another slow start, and let’s not act like the Heat are unbeatable at home as the Celtics took them too overtime and beat them in their next game in South Beach. Look for a much better performance from Kevin Durant and company here.
Oklahoma City Thunder +4 Miami Heat