Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

The series shifts back to Miami as the Heat look to take control against the Boston Celtics in Game 5.  The Heat are -8 point favorites over the Celtics with an over/under point total set at 180.

Head to head, the Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 playoff games as a favorite. The Celtics on the other hand are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

I can understand how the Heat were eight point favorites in the first two games of this series, but I struggle to see them still an eight point favorite in tonight’s game. Apart from the third quarters of Games 1 and 2, Boston has been every bit as good as Maimi have been in this series. Everyone knows the Heat have the best two players on the court, however the Celtics have the next best five, which evens things right up.

If Chris Bosh decides to play tonight, the Heat obviously improve a little bit, however I don’t think we can expect to much from Bosh in his return game from injury in a Eastern Conference final. I could go on and on, but the simple fact is that I can see Boston hanging around, just like they have done all series.

Pick

Boston Celtics +8 Miami Heat

June 5, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

Comments are closed.