Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds hope to stay hot when they visit Progressive Field to face the Cleveland Indians.  The Reds are -120 favorites over the Indians with an over/under run total set at 8.5.

The surging Reds put another on in the win column in Sunday’s 3-1 victory over the Mets. That  gave white hot Cincinnati sixth consecutive victory and back to back series sweeps. In this  outscored the opposition 34-16. The offense wasn’t quite as explosive Sunday but the work of starter Johnny Cueto made sure it didn’t matter. Cueto allowed one run on six hits and a walk while striking out eight over seven frames. The offense pounded out ten hits while walking three times with Wilson Valdez and Brandon Philips  stroking RBI singles. Cincinnati sends Mat Latos to the bump in the series opener looking to cut down on his pitch count. Latos is 5-0 in his last ten starts with five no decisions but tends to throw too many pitches but the Reds win with him, going 8-2 in his past ten outings.

I would say Cleveland is in the midst of a full blown slump but after a 9-5 defeat at the hands of Pittsburgh on Sunday, the Indians have dropped five of six. The Tribe still sit in second of the American League Central but might be taking a peek over their shoulders with Detroit starting to win games. In this span, the Tribe haven’t been scoring runs and the pitching hasn’t been strong either. It was the pitching that let them down against the Pirates with starter Jeanmar Gomez giving up eigt runs (four earned)on seven hits and a pair of bases on balls in only 4.1 innings of work. The bats mounted a 12 hit attack while walking twice. Jason Kipnis going deep. Shin-Soo Choo doubled in a pair of runs but the Tribe squandered several opportunities. Sinker baller Derek Lowe takes the ball looking to recapture the magic of the early season. Lowe has lost four of five with a combination of poor pitching, lack of run support and bull pen issues costing him.

This game is a rematch from a week ago with Cincinnati staying hot and Cleveland struggling since. For some reason I’m having difficulty backing Latos again but the hotter team is worth looking at.

Pick

Cincinnati Reds -120 Cleveland Indians

June 19, 2012 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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