Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
The San Francisco Giants and the Cincinnati Reds battle it out on Thursday in game one of their series in San Francisco. The Reds are -115 favorites over the Giants with an over/under run total set at 6.5.
The San Francisco Giants have been rolling as they have skyrocketed up the N.L. West standings. The Giants are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 24-14 at home this season, and they are tied for first place in the division with the L.A. Dodgers. As a team the Giants are hitting .262 with Melky Cabrera hitting .351, Buster Posey hitting .300, and Angel Pagan hitting .295. As a team the Giants pitching staff has an ERA of 3.41 with the starters at 3.39 and the bullpen at 3.48. For game one against the Reds San Francisco starts Madison Bumgarner who has won his last four decisions. For the season Bumgarner has allowed 94 hits and 35 earned runs while striking out 84 over 101.2 innings of work for a 3.10 ERA.
The Cincinnati Reds look to be involved in a hotly contested three team race in the N.L. Central. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 18-17 on the road this season, and they have a two game lead in the division. As a team the Reds are hitting .251 with Joey Votto hitting .353, Brandin Phillips hitting .289, and Zack Cozart hitting .250. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.57 with the starters at 3.94 and the bullpen at 2.74. For game one against the Giants Cincinnati starts Johnny Cueto who is the anchor of their starting rotation. For the season Cueto as allowed 92 hits and 25 earned runs while striking out 76 over 101.2 innings of work for a 2.21 ERA.
San Francisco is 6-1 in their last seven games against the N.L. Central, 6-1 in their last seven home games, and 4-1 in Bumgarner’s last five starts. Cincinnati is 13-5 in their last 18 games against a team with a winning record, 5-2 in their last seven games against a left handed starter, and 21-7 in Cueto’s last 28 starts. Cincinnati has won five of the last six meetings of these two.
Expect runs to be at a premium in this one and I see it coming in under the total.