Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
The Chicago Cubs and the Boston Red Sox open their three game series as they meet Friday afternoon at Wrigley Field. The Red Sox are -115 favorites over the Cubs with an over/under run total set at 9.
The Chicago Cubs have the worst record in baseball this season as they have upheld their tradition of losing and disappointing their fans. The Cubs are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 13-17 at home this season, and they are 14.5 games back in the N.L. Central. As a team the Cubs are hitting .248 with Bryan Lahair hitting .303, Starlin Castro hitting .295, and Alfonso Soriano hitting .280. As a team the Cubs have an ERA 4.39 with the starters at 4.32 and the bullpen at 4.53. For game one against the Red Sox Chicago starts Ryan Dempster who has won his last two starts. For the season Dempster has allowed 56 hits and 19 earned runs while striking out 63 over 74 innings of work for a 2.31 ERA.
The Boston Red Sox have not been playing well of late and while they made a run earlier this month they are just losing ground in the A.L. East. The Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 games, 17-13 on the road this season, and 6.5 games back in their division. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .268 with David Ortiz hitting .307, Dustin Pedroia hitting .275, and Adrian Gonzalez hitting .267. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.36 with the Starters at 4.83 and the bullpen at 3.46. For game one at Chicago Boston starts Diasuke Matsuzaka who makes just his second start of the year. In his first outing Matsuzaka allowed five hits and four earned runs while striking out eight over 5.0 innings for a 7.20 ERA in a losing effort.
Chicago is 22-46 in their last 68 games overall, 1-5 in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record, and 1-5 in Dempster’s last six road starts. Boston is 4-0 in their last four games against the N.L. Central, 8-2 in their last 10 interleague road games, and 26-12 in Matsuzaka’s last 38 road starts.
I like the over 9 here as I expect a lot of runs here.