Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Houston Astros meet on Monday for game one of their series in Philadelphia. The Phillies are -165 favorites over the Astros with an over/under run total set at 8.5.
The Philadelphia Phillies continue to be one of baseball’s most disappointing teams and although they still have plenty of time left in season, there is reason for legitimate concern at this point. The Phillies are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 7-9 at home this season, and in last place in the N.L. East, six games out of first place. As a team the Phillies are hitting .258 with Carlos Ruiz hitting .330, Placido Polanco hitting .280, and Shane Victorino is hitting .259. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 3.61 with the starters at 3.03 and the bullpen at 5.23. For game one against the Astros Philadelphia starts Joe Blanton who is statistically having his best season as a pro. For the season Blanton has allowed 39 hits and 15 earned runs while striking out 28 over 41.2 innings for a 3.24.
The Houston Astros might not be getting a lot of wins this season but this a vastly improved team over a year ago and they are clearly headed in the right direction. The Astros are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 5-11 on the road this year, and they are tied for fourth place in the N.L. Central, five games behind the Cardinals. As a team the Astros are hitting .252 with Jose Altuve at .323, Chris Johnson at .300, and Jed Lowrie at .283. As a team the Astros pitching staff has an ERA of 3.70 with the starters at 4.23 and the bullpen at 2.62. For game one against the Phillies Houston starts Lucas Harrell who has a win and a no decision in his last two starts. For the season Harrell has allowed 41 hits and 20 earned runs while striking out 19 over 39.1 innings of work for a 4.58 ERA.
Philadelphia is 8-17 in their last 25 games as a home favorite, 1-4 in their last five home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower, and 1-4 in Blanton’s last five starts against the N.L. Central. Houston is 5-2 in their last seven games against the N.L. East, 14-42 in their last 56 road games, and 0-4 in Harrell’s last five road starts.
Philadelphia just hasn’t been a solid team and the play here is to either take the nice odds on Houston or to not play this one at all.
Houston Astros +145 Philadelphia Phillies