New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat

The New York Knicks are facing elimination as the Knicks are down three games to one to the Miami Heat heading into Wednesday night’s contest.  The Heat are -11 point favorites over the Knicks with an over/under point total set at 183.5.

The Miami Heat have been among the favorites all season long to win the title, and rightfully so as looking up and down the Heat roster Miami has elite talent. The Heat are among the best in the league on both ends of the court as Miami is scoring an average of 98.5 points per game, while giving up just 92.5 points per game on average. The Miami Heat were in position to sweep the New York Knicks last time out, however New York found a way on their home court, defeating Miami 89-87.

The New York Knicks will honestly need nothing short of a miracle to fight back from three games to one against the Heat, but if the Knicks are going to do it, it will start on Wednesday night. The Knicks, like the Heat, play a very balanced game, New York just doesn’t put up the kind of numbers routinely like Miami does. The Knicks are scoring an average of 97.8 points per game on the year, while giving up an average of 94.7 points per game to opponents.

The total has gone under in nine of the last ten games for the Heat. The total has also gone under for Miami in six of their last seven home games. The Knicks have also gone under the total in four of their last five games.

All the trends here are pointing towards the under, but looking at the projection I think the odds makers have it about right. The value here looks to be with the Knicks as I do like the Heat to eliminate the Knicks, I just don’t see Miami winning by double digits, even at home.

Pick

New York Knicks +11 Miami Heat

May 9, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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