Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs meet on Wednesday for game one of their series in Cincinnati. The Reds are -155 favorites over the Cubs with an over/under run total set at 8.
The Cincinnati Reds had the day off on Monday but of late they are playing their best baseball of the season and are starting to look like the team that was favored to win the N.L. Central. The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 7-5 at home this season, and three games back in the division. As a team the Reds are hitting .240 with Jay Bruce hitting .296, Joey Votto hitting .289, and Zack Cozart hitting .271. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53 with the starters at 3.89 and the bullpen at 2.81. For game one against the Cubs Cincinnati starts Bronson Arroyo who only has one decision this year which was a win. For the year Arroyo has allowed 27hits and eight earned runs while striking out 15 over 26.2 innings of work for a 2.70 ERA.
The Chicago Cubs are one of the worst teams in baseball this season as they just aren’t competitive on a consistent basis. The Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 3-7 on the road, and they are in last place in the N.L. Central. As a team the Cubs are hitting .237 with Starlin Castro at .333, Darwin Barney at .263, and David DeJesus at .250. The Cubs pitching staff has an ERA of 4.10 with the starters at 4.12 and the bullpen at 4.08. For game one at Cincinnati Chicago starts Jeff Samardzjia who is having his best year as a pro. For the season Samardzjia has allowed 26 hits and 11 earned runs while striking out 25 over 24 innings of work for a 4.12 ERA.
Cincinnati is 5-2 in their last seven games overall, 7-3 in their last 10 games as a favorite, and 5-1 in Arroyo’s last six starts. Chicago is 8-18 in their last 26 games as an underdog, 2-7 in their last nine road games, and 5-2 in Samrdzjia’s last seven starts. Chicago is 2-8 in their last 10 games in Cincinnati.
The total in this one is set at eight but I have this one under that number.