Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
The Boston Red Sox and the Seattle Mariners face off on Monday in game one of their series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are -180 favorites over the Mariners with an over/under run total set at 9.
The Boston Red Sox look like they may be starting to put some things together but the still have a lot of work to do to get back into the thick of things in the American League East. The Red Sox have won three games in a row, are 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they are in last place in the division, 6.5 games behind the Orioles making it four teams they will need to move past. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .274 with David Ortiz at .348, Ryan Sweeney at .333, Dustin Pedroia at .319, and Adrian Gonzalez heating up to.292. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 5.12 with the starters at 5.80 and the bullpen at 4.02. For game one against the Mariners Boston starts Jon Lester who doesn’t seem to have his best stuff on the mound. For the season Lester has allowed 39 hits and 20 earned runs while striking out 28 over 42 innings of work for a 4.29 ERA.
The Seattle Mariners continue to plod along as they seem to have enough talent to compete on a regular basis but not enough to win regularly. The Mariners are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 9-12 on the road this season, and seven games back in the American League West. As a team the Mariners are hitting .233with Kyle Seager hitting .295, Ichiro Suzuki hitting .285, and Jesus Montero hitting .262. As a team the Mariners pitching staff has an ERA of 3.93 with the starters at 3.98 and the bullpen at 3.80. For game one at Fenway Park Seattle starts Jason Vargas who has pitched well but hasn’t always gotten the run support to have the record to reflect his efforts. For the season Vargas has allowed 37 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 38 over 51.2 innings for a 2.79 ERA.
Boston is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win, 1-4 in their last five games against a team with a losing record, and 2-9 in Lester’s last 11 starts. Seattle is 23-45 in their last 68 games against the A.L. East, 15-40 in their last 55 games as a road underdog, and 1-5 in Vargas’ last six starts against the American League East. Seattle is 0-4 in their last four games in Boston.
The Red Sox have won three in a row at home but with Lester going they have too much working against them to be a serious favorite and Vargas and the Mariners are simply the better play in this spot.
Seattle Mariners +160 Boston Red Sox