Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Atlanta Braves and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Monday for game one of their series at Turner Field.  The Braves are -145 favorites over the Reds with an over/under run total set at 8.5.

The Atlanta Braves are playing their best baseball of the season as they are returning home after sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals this past weekend. The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 8-5 at home this season, and are in first place in the N.L. East by a half of a game over the Nationals. As a team the Braves are hitting .267 with Michael Bourn hitting .336, Freddie Freeman hitting .284, and Dan Uggla and Martin Prado both hitting .281. As a team the Braves pitching staff has an ERA of 4.22 with the starters at 4.52 and the bullpen at 3.68. For game one against the Reds Atlanta starts Randall Delgado who has lost his last three decisions. For the season Delgado has allowed 32 hits and 17 earned runs while striking out 31 over 33.2 innings of work for a 4.54 ERA.

The Cincinnati Reds have been playing strong after a slow start as they continue to climb the N.L. Central standings. The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 8-8 on the road this season, and they are in second place in their division 2.5 games behind the Cardinals. As a team the Reds are hitting .236 with Joey Votto hitting .319, Jay Bruce hitting .295, and Zack Cozart hitting .264. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.34 with the starters at 3.81 and the bullpen at 2.41. For game one at Turner Field Cincinnati starts Homer Bailey who has just one win this season. For the year Bailey has allowed 40 hits and 19 earned runs while striking out 24 over 34.2 innings for a 4.93 ERA.

Atlanta is 5-1 in their last six games against a right handed starter, 7-2 in their last nine games overall, and 6-2 in Delgado’s last eight starts as a favorite. Cincinnati is 5-2 in their last seven road games, 8-20 in their last 28 games as an underdog, and 107 in Bailey’s last eight starts as a road underdog. Cincinnati is 1-4 in their last five games in Atlanta.

Both of these teams are near the bottom of their pitching rotations and look for there to be plenty of hits and runs as these two can swing the bat and my pick is the over.

Pick

Over 8.5

May 14, 2012 by : Posted in Sportsbook No Comments

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