San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The San Francisco Giants and the Philadelphia Phillies meet on Monday for game one of their series in San Francisco. The Phillies are -120 favorites over the Giants with an over/under run total set at 6.
The San Francisco Giants haven’t gotten off to the start they had hoped but it is early and they have over 150 games to make up the 4.5 games they trail by in the N.L. West. San Francisco is coming into this series off of a loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates and they have scored as many runs as they have allowed, 43. As a team the Giants are hitting .253 with Pablo Sandoval hitting .333, Melky Cabrera hitting .324, Nate Schierholz hitting .286, and Buster Posey hitting .250. For game one against the Phillies San Francisco starts Tim Lincecum who simply doesn’t look like himself losing his first two starts and getting shelled in the process. In his first two games Lincecum has allowed 14 hits and 11 runs while striking out 10 in just 7.2 innings of work for a 12.91 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies are lacking consistency thus far and the bats have been pretty quiet for the most part. The Phillies are 2.5 games back in the N.L. East and in fourth place as they have outscored their opponents 28-27. As a team the Phillies are hitting .243 with Jimmyt Rollins at .351, Hunter Pence at .314, Carlos Ruiz at .308, and Shane Victorino is hitting .294. For game one at AT&T Park Philadelphia starts their ace, Roy Halladay is off to his usual impressive start. Through his first two starts Halladay has allowed seven hits and one run while striking out eight over 15 innings of work for a 2-0 record and a 0.60 ERA.
San Francisco is 8-2 in their last 10 home games, 0-5 in their last five games as a home underdog, and 0-4 in Lincecums last four starts. Philadelphia is 27-13 in their last 40 road games, 42-16 against the N.L. West, and 21-7 in Halladay’s last 28 starts as a road favorite. Philadelphia has won four of their last five games in San Francisco.
The total is aggressively low here and while I am not seeing a scoring explosion, six is just a shade too low and my pick is on the over.