Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden St. Warriors
The Golden State Warriors travel to the Staples Center to battle the Los Angeles Lakers for the second time this week. The Lakers are -10.5 point favorites over the Warriors with an over/under point total set at 197.
Since trading Monta Ellis, the Warriors have lost nine of 11 and are coming off a heartbreaking 102-100 home loss against the lowly Nets in a game where they were leading by as many as 19 points. The Warriors shot a healthy 52.6 percent from the field, but they allowed 14 offensive rebounds which really hurt them in the end. While the Warriors have been battling with injuries to key players, the one bright spot for them has been the play of David Lee who scored a game-high 27 points in the loss and is averaging 23.2 points and 10.4 rebounds over his last five games.
Meanwhile, the Lakers almost suffered a heartbreaker of their own as they had to fight back from a 10-point deficit after leading by 14 points to win by 88-85 last night. Kobe Bryant set the stage by missing his first 15 shots to set up a signature moment where he knocked down the game-winning three to finish with figures of three for 21 from the field. Luckily for the Lakers, Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum were consistent for LA once again, combining for 40 points and 21 rebounds on 15 of 24 shooting.
Head to head, the Lakers have dominated the series, winning 14 of the last 15 meetings. However, in terms of ATS trends, the Warriors are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, but the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven.
It’s always tough to pick the Lakers to cover the spread at home because the lines are always over-inflated and I think that is the case here once again. Sure, the Warriors are seriously shorthanded and are undersized in this meeting, but the Lakers look a little fatigued especially Kobe and isn’t blowing away teams because of their underachieving bench players.
Golden St. Warriors +10.5 Los Angeles Lakers