Portland Trailblazers vs. Milwaukee Bucks

The Portland Trail Blazers return home to face the surging Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday night.  The Trail Blazers are -4 point favorites over the Bucks with an over/under point total set at 203.

After their surprising win against the league leading Chicago Bulls, the Trail Blazers came back down to earth with a 111-95 defeat in Oklahoma City to conclude their seven game road trip. It’s been a tough couple of months for a Portland team that has fallen below .500 after a blistering start to the season. Things got so bad that the Blazers decided to cut ties with long-time head coach Nate McMillan and trade away Gerald Wallace and Marcus Camby before last Thursday’s trade deadline.

The Bucks on the other hand are enjoying their longest winning streak in some time, having won five straight to currently sit a half-game behind New York for eighth place in the Eastern Conference. With Monta Ellis now in a Bucks uniform, Milwaukee figures to be a much more explosive offensive team, although they haven’t needed the help lately. The Bucks are averaging 112.8 points during their winning streak, which is well up from their season average of 97.5 points per game.

Head to head, the Bucks are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland, while the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Trail Blazers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, but just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bucks on the other hand are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall, but just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

I always harp on about teams returning home from a long road trip and never performing well in their first game back, a stat that rings true to a Blazers team that is just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Given this, plus how well the Bucks are playing at the moment, I have to take the points in this one.

Pick

Milwaukee Bucks +4 Portland Trailblazers

March 20, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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