Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Florida St. Seminoles

The Florida State Seminoles and the Cincinnati Bearcats battle it out on Sunday for the right to play in the Sweet 16.  The Seminoles are -2.5 point favorites over the Bearcats with an over/under point total set at 127.

The Florida State Seminoles were tested and given a scare but Leonard Hamilton’s team rallied and then hung on to beat a game St. Bonaventure team in round one on Friday. While Florida State didn’t look like the better team for the majority of the game they used their size advantage to outrebound the Bonnies and the Seminoles outside shots started falling. Bernard James had 19 points and nine rebounds, Luke Loucks had 13 points, seven rebounds, and six assists, and Okaro White had nine points in a game Michael Snaer didn’t score in. FSU shot 45.3 percent from the floor, 78.6 percent from the free throw line, and 36.8 percent from beyond the three point arc. With their win in the ACC Tournament the expectations are sky high for the Seminoles.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are looking to prove that their trip to the Big East Tournament Finals and their win over Syracuse were no fluke as Mick Cronin’s team is looking to make another run. Cincinnati went to the half against Texas up by 14 points and extended the lead to 24 but they ended up having to hold on and then earn the win again in the end. Yancy Gates had 15 points and 10 rebounds, Jaquon Parker had 13 points and six rebounds, Dion Dixon had 12 points, and Cashmere Wright had 11 points, six rebounds, and five assists. As a team the Bearcats shot 45.8 percent from the floor but shot just 50 percent from the free throw line and just 18.8 percent from beyond the three point arc. Cincinnati has already proved they can play with anyone and a win against a top tier ACC team will give them even more confidence going forward.

Florida State is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning record, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 non-conference games. Cincinnati is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall, 5-1 against the spread following a win, and 6-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record.

This shapes up to be a war which suggests a low scoring game but I see it over the total.

Pick

Over 127

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