South Florida Bulls vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Two Big East teams with aspirations of March Madness face off on Sunday as the South Florida Bulls host the Cincinnati Bearcats. The Bulls are -2 point favorites over the Bearcats with an over/under point total set at 117.5.
The South Florida Bulls flew under the radar most of the season but Stan Heath’s team has continued to hold their own in conference play and they look to have a legitimate chance to make the NCAA Tournament this year. USF is 10-5 in the Big East, 13-1 at home this season, and they are in a three way tie for fourth place in the conference standings. Augustus Gilchrist is averaging 10.3 points and 5.0 rebounds, Victor Rudd is averaging 8.9 points, and Toarlyn Fitzpatrick is 8.3 points and 6.6 rebounds. As a team the Bulls are averaging 90.6 points and they are shooting 44.1 percent while defensively they are allowing 58.1 points and their opponents are shooting 39.6 percent. Few expected South Florida to have much impact this season but they seem to be built perfectly for Big East conference play.
The Cincinnati Bearcats have won five of their last six games and Mick Cronin’s team looks like they have locked up a spot in the Big Dance. UC is 10-5 in the Big East, 6-4 on the road this season, and they are part of the three way tie for fourth place in the conference. Sean Kilpatrick is averaging 14.9 points and 5.0 rebounds, Dion Dixon is averaging 13.5 points, and Yancy Gates is averaging 12.3 points and 9.3 rebounds. As a team Cincinnati is averaging 69.8 points and they are shooting 42.2 percent while defensively they are allowing 61.3 points and their opponents are shooting 41.3 percent. Cincinnati was bounced by eventual champion UConn in last year’s tournament and they are hoping to go further this year.
South Florida is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games overall, 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games, and 4-0 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games, 6-1 against the spread following three or more consecutive home games, and 1-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 1-8 against the spread in the last nine meetings of these two.
We have two very good defensive teams here and I have this one coming in on the low side.