Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs look for their third straight win over the Memphis Grizzlies when the two square off tonight.  The Grizzlies are -1.5 point favorites over the Spurs with an over/under point total set at 186.

If the Spurs were looking for payback for their first round exit in last season’s playoffs against the Grizzlies, they are doing a pretty good job of it so far. The Spurs have dominated their two regular season meetings since Memphis knocked San Antonio out of the playoffs as an eight seed. In their first showdown, which was the season opener for both teams, Manu Ginobili scored 24 points as the Spurs took over half time, eventually cruising to a 95-82 victory, despite shooting just 39% from the floor, compared to 46% for the Grizzlies.

In the second meeting, which was just last week in Memphis, it was much of the same story as San Antonio outscored Memphis by at least five points in each of the opening three quarters to record a 83-73 victory. Matt Bonner led five Spurs player in double figures with 15 points, with O.J. Mayo scored a game high 17 points off the bench for the Grizzlies.

Head to head, the Spurs are 2-10-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis, while the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Grizzlies are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. The Spurs on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and  4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog, but just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games.

As strange as it sounds, Tony Allen hinges on the outcome of tonight’s game because if he misses his second straight, Memphis will have a hard time stoping Tony Parker and co. Just like their game at Oklahoma City, I’m not too worried about the Grizzlies playing a back to back as they are now 21-4-1 against the spread in their last 30 games playing on zero days’ rest. I do worry that they are returning from a three game road trip and they have now played seven road games since the 23rd January (14 day span). The Spurs on the other hand haven’t played on the road since beating Memphis last, yet their record on the road straight up and against the spread is just horrible.  Take the Grizzlies minus the 1.5.

Pick

Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 San Antonio Spurs

February 7, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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