Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers

The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers square off for the third time this season from the Mile High City.  The Nuggets are -3.5 point favorites over the Lakers with an over/under point total set at 197.5.

In his season debut, Andrew Bynum scored 29 points and pulled down 13 rebounds as the Lakers defeated the Nuggets 92-89 in their first meeting of the season in Los Angeles. In a tightly contest battle, it was the Lakers who pulled away in the end as they outscored the Nuggets 23-18 in the final term to secure the win. Danilo Gallinari had an opportunity to tie the game, but he missed a wide open fast break layup that would have sent the game into overtime.

The Nuggets would get their revenge the very next night as Gallinari would make up for his mistake by scoring a game his 20 points to lead Denver to a 99-90 victory over Los Angeles. This time it would be the home town Nuggets that pulled away late as they outscored the Lakers 27-19 in the fourth quarter to get their payback. Pau Gasol top scored for the visitors with 20 points, while Kobe Bryant was held to 16 points on just 6-28 from the floor.

Head to head, the  Lakers are 1-7-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest, 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 home games and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Lakers on the other hand are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference, but just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Not really concerned about the Nuggets playing in a back to back here as they are an incredible 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 games playing on zero days rest. Throwing everything else out the window, who do I like here? Denver or course. If you watched that first meeting, the Nuggets really should have won that game and at worst it should have gone to overtime after Gallo missed a wide open layup on a fast break with a second remaining. The Lakers just stink on the road, plain and simple. There are a three man team coming up against a real team with a true home court advantage. Los Angeles does still have Kobe so anything could happen, but Denver is a top three team in the West this season.

Pick

Denver Nuggets -3.5 Los Angeles Lakers

February 3, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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