Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigers

The Vanderbilt Commodores and Auburn Tigers open their SEC schedules as they meet on Saturday in Nashville.  The Commodores are -15.5 point favorites over the Tigers with an over/under point total set at 136.5.

The Vanderbilt Commodores came into this season with high expectations both of them and of themselves and thus far they have fallen a bit short but they still have plenty of time to catch up. Kevin Stallings’ Vandy roster is loaded with guys who can play and though they don’t play Kentucky or Florida until February they will be tested plenty in January. John Jenkins is averaging 20.5 points, Jeffrey Taylor is averaging 17.5 points and 5.6 rebounds, Lance Goulbourne is averaging 10.5 points and 7.6 rebounds, and Brad Tinsley is averaging 10.3 points. As a team Vandy is averaging 76 points and they are shooting 46.5 percent while defensively they are allowing 68.1 points and their opponents shoot 43.9 percent. Vanderbilt has the scorers to be very dangerous, even when facing the best teams in the nation.

The Auburn Tigers appear to be an improved team over what we saw from them a year ago but with their inconsistent play and their lack of being able to get up against the better teams they may be be improved enough to be competitive every game this year. Auburn was blown out in their last game against Florida State and with Kentucky on tap in the next game it could be a rough few days for Tony Barbee’s team. Kenny Gabriel is averaging 12.6 points and 8.1 rebounds, Frankie Sullivan is averaging 12.2 points and 4.7 rebounds, Chris Denson is averaging 10.9 points and Rob Chubb is averaging 10.3 points and 4.3 rebounds. As a team Auburn is averaging 68.4 points and they are shooting 44.9 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 64.6 points and their opposition is shooting 40.7 percent. Improved and competitive may mean two different things for Auburn this year.

Vanderbilt is 1-4 against the spread following a win, 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games, and 0-3-1 agaisnt the spread in their last four SEC games. Auburn is 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall, 33-16-2 against the spread in their last 51 SEC games, and 10-3 against the spread following a loss. The road team has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.

Vandy has players who can light up the scoreboard but this kind of number is simply too big and creates a lot of value on an obviously under rated Auburn team.

Pick

Auburn Tigers +15.5 Vanderbilt Commodores

January 7, 2012 by : Posted in College Basketball, Sportsbook No Comments

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