San Diego Toreros vs. St. Mary’s Gaels

The San Diego Toreros look to pull a major upset as they host the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Thursday.  The Gaels are -17.5 point favorites over the Toreros with an over/under point total set at 133.

The San Diego Toreros have dropped their last four games in a row including getting trounced by BYU by 36 in their WCC opener. Bill Grier has his work cut out for him this season as San Diego looks to over matched in a conference which has grown increasingly competitive. Johnny Dee is averaging 13.2 points, Chris Manresa is averaging 11.1 points and 7.9 rebounds, and Dan Norris is averaging 9.7 points. As a team the Toreros are averaging 64.5 points and they are shooting 42.7 percent while defensively they are allowing 70.4 points and their opponents shoot a blistering 46.7 percent. San Diego is 3-3 at home so far this year but they haven’t defeated a team with an RPI over 150.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels are a borderline top 25 team and they should have a chance to play themselves into the national rankings. Randy Bennett’s team has played the 80th ranked schedule losing just twice and St. Mary’s is 2-1 on the road. Matthew Delllavedova is averaging 14.3 points and 6.5 assists, Rob Jones is averaging 14.1 points and 10.5 rebounds, and Stephen Holt is averaging 9.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. As a team Saint Mary’s is averaging 76.1 points, 17.2 assists, and they are shooting 47.4 percent while defensively they allow57.8 points and their opponents shoot 39.1 percent. While the West Coast Conference looks to be as competitive as it has ever been St. Mary’s looks to be the team to beat.

San Diego is 7-21 against the spread in their last 28 road games, 14-30-2 against the spread in their last 36 WCC games, and 15-40-1 against the spread in their last 56 games overall. St. Mary’s is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall, 4-1 against the spread following a cover, and 0-5 against the spread against a team with a losing record. The underdog is 16-5 against the spread in the last 21 meetings of these two.

St. Mary’s is laying a bundle here on the road but they are still the play as this is a mismatch.

Pick

St. Mary’s Gaels -17.5 San Diego Toreros

January 5, 2012 by : Posted in College Basketball, Sportsbook No Comments

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