Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks

The defending champion Dallas Mavericks look for their third straight win as they host Steve Nash and the Phoenix Suns.  The Mavericks are -6 point favorites over the Suns with an over/under point total set at 183.5.

Since their first meeting back in early January, the Mavs have amassed a 7-3 record, which includes a season high five game-winning streak. However, things aren’t all peachy down in the Lone Star State, as a sore knee that kept him out of Saturday’s 83-81 win at New Orleans has hindered Dirk Nowitzki. Nowitzki isn’t expected to return until Jan. 29 versus San Antonio at the earliest. The Suns on the other hand have dropped five of nine, however they come into tonight’s game off back-to-back road wins at New York and Boston.

In their first meeting, Dirk Nowitzki scored 20 points and Jason Terry added 18 as the Mavericks down the suns 98-89 in Dallas. Nowitzki, who was playing in his 1000th career game, also had seven assists and six rebounds as Dallas outscored Phoenix 24-16 in the second quarter, which proved to be the difference in the game. Marcin Gortat had a game high 22 points, while Steve Nash added 15 points and 12 assists for a Suns team that has struggled to score the ball, unlike in year’s gone by.

Head to head, the Suns are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas, while the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the favorite is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. The Suns on the other hand are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest, but just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Given that the Suns played the Mavs relatively tough in their first meeting and that Nowitzki and Vince Carter will both be missing tonight, you have to take the Suns here. Not only that, but Phoenix have won consecutive road games, granted they came against struggling New York and Boston, but at the end of the day they will be two playoff teams when it’s all said and done. In the first meeting, the Suns only really had one bad quarter against the Mavs, so they should be definitely be able to keep up here, especially with Nowitzki sidelined.

Pick

Phoenix Suns +6 Dallas Mavericks

January 23, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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