Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
The Minnesota Golden Gophers look for their first Big Ten win of the year as they host the Purdue Boilermakers. The Golden Gophers are -1 point favorites over the Boilermakers with an over/under point total of 130.
Tubby Smith’s Minnesota Golden Gophers have opened their Big Ten schedule with three consecutive losses and they look to turn things around in a hurry. Last year Minnesota started off gangbusters and then faded late but this year it has been a struggle. Julian Welch is averaging 10.6 points, Rodney Williams is averaging 9.8 points and 5.4 rebounds, and Ralph Sampson III is averaging 9.3 points and 5.0 rebounds. As a team Minnesota is averaging 69.1 points and they are shooting 47.7 percent while defensively they are allowing 61.6 points and their opposition is averaging 61.6 points and they are shooting 41.3 percent. Minnesota is still trying to overcome the injury to Trevor Mbakwe who was the best player on the roster.
The Purdue Boilermakers got off to a 2-0 start to their Big Ten schedule and then it all blew up as they were pasted in Happy Valley by Penn State. Matt Painter’s team looks to regroup in this one as they stay on the road in what looks to be a winnable game. Robbie Hummel is averaging 16.4 points and 6.1 rebounds, Ryne Smith is averaging 10.3 points, and Lewis Jackson is averaging 9.6 points. As a team Purdue is averaging 72.7 points and they are shooting 44.7 percent while defensively they are allowing 61 points and their opponents shoot 40.4 percent. Purdue has played well for the bulk of the year but how they bounce back could be an indication as to how it plays out for them in the near future.
Minnesota is 7-16-1 against the spread in their last 24 home games, 1-7-1 against the spread in their last nine Big Ten games, and 8-21-1 against the spread following a loss. Purdue is 6-0 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, 104 against the spread in their last five road games, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six Big Ten games. The Home team is 8-2-1 against the spread in the last 11 meetings of these two.
Minnesota has shown a few flashes that they have what it takes and Purdue has been hot and cold but with the number so small, I have to go with the team who has already proved they can win in the conference.
Purdue Boilermakers +1 Minnesota Golden Gophers