Michigan St. Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Two teams that are part of the tie for third place in the Big Ten meet as the Michigan State Spartans host the Purdue Boilermakers. The Spartans are -8 point favorites over the Boilermakers with an over/under point total set at 136.5.
The Michigan State Spartans were riding a 15 games winning streak but two road games later Tom Izzo’s team is on a two game losing streak and has slipped to third place in the Big Ten. MSU is 4-2 in conference play, 11-0 at home this year, and 5-7 against teams with a RPI better than 100. Draymond Green is averaging 15.4 points and they are shooting 10.0 rebounds, Keith Appling is averaging 12.7 points, and Brandon Wood is averaging 9.7 points. As a team Michigan State is averaging 75.7 points, 16.7 assists, 40.2 offensive rebounds, and they are shooting 47.8 percent while defensively they are allowing 60.7 points and their opponents are shooting 38.6 percent. Sparty has shown the ability to go on a long winning streak, they are just hoping that they can do the same this March.
The Purdue Boilermakers have been trying to string together wins but in their last five games Matt Painter’s team hasn’t been able to put two wins together. Purdue is 4-2 in the Big Ten, 2-2 on the road, and have played the 55th ranked schedule in the nation, a number that looks like it will be going up. Robbie Hummel is averaging 16.1 points and 6.3 rebounds, Ryne Smith is averaging 10.2 points, and Lewis Jackson is averaging 10 points. As a team Purdue is averaging 72.6 points and they are shooting 44.5 percent while defensively they are allowing 61.9 points and their opposition shoots 41 percent. Purdue has been somewhat flying under the radar this season but if they can get it all together they can be a dangerous team.
Michigan State is 10-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record, 5-2 against the spread in their last seven home games, and 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games overall. Purdue is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine Big Ten games, 7-1 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, and 1-4 against the spread following a win. The road team has covered in four of the last five meetings of these two.
Michigan State is the better team and more than likely the winner but at this number I would take the points and the Boilermakers.
Purdue Boilermakers +8 Michigan St. Spartans