Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers

The red hot Denver Nuggets look for their seventh straight win as they host Blake Griffin and the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Nuggets are -6 point favorites over the Clippers with an over/under point total set at 204.5.

The Nuggets continue to stake their claim as one of the premier teams in the league after winning their sixth consecutive game in a dominate 96-81 victory over the visiting Toronto Raptors on Friday night. Denver is on a tear offensively during their winning streak as they are averaging 109.7 points per game over their last six, with Danilo Gallinari leading the way with 25.5 points per game in his last four. Against Toronto, Rudy Fernandez did most of the damage with a season high 23 points after missing his previous two games with a sore right Achilles.

The Clippers bounced back from their loss against the Lakers with a tough fought 98-91 win over the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday night to improve to 10-6 overall. Los Angeles is having no trouble with opponents at home as they have won nine of a possible 11 contests, yet like the other LA team they have struggled mightily on the road, winning just one of five. Lakers game aside, their last game away from home was at Utah, which resulted in an embarrassing 102-94 defeat.

Head to head, the Clippers are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, while the home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite, 15-6-2 ATS in their last 23 home games and 37-12-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Clippers on the other hand are just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

The Clippers were without Chris Paul in their last ‘true’ road game against Utah, but losing by 29 points to the Jazz is just unacceptable. Paul did play in an eight point loss at Portland and a 25 point loss at San Antonio, so I’m not sure he would have made a lot of difference in Salt Lake City. Los Angeles are hard to bet against because they have so much talent on their roster, but until they start producing on the road, I’ll continue to go against them. Plus, it’s not like they facing Phoenix or New Orleans here, they coming up against the hottest team in the league with virtually the biggest home court advantage of anyone. The Clippers might make a real game of this, but I’m going with the proven Nuggets here.

Pick

DenverNuggets -6 Los Angeles Clippers

January 30, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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