Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers

The Boston Celtics looks to avoid their fourth straight loss as they travel to Indiana to face the Pacers.  The Pacers are -3.5 point favorites over the Celtics with an over/under point total set at 180.

Since their first meeting of the season last week, the Pacers have gone on to win three of four to improve to 8-3 on the season. The Celtics on the other hand continue to struggle as they dropped their third straight game on Friday night against Chicago to fall to 4-6 overall.

Despite being a six point underdog, the Pacers dominated the first meeting between the two teams, coming away with an 87-74 victory in Boston. The first and third quarters were a wash as both the Celtics and Pacers drew even, however Indiana took control of the other two quarters, especially the second were they outscored Boston 19-11 to take control of the game. Despite shooting just 3-14 from the field, Danny Granger led six Pacers in double figures with 15 points, while Ray Allen led the way for the Celtics with a game high 23 points on 7-11 shooting.

Head to head, the Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana while the home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favourite, but just 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 0 days rest. The Celtics on the other hand are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.

I’m not really sure what has changed since their first meeting, except the Pacers have continued to win while the Celtics continue to struggle. The Celtics are shooting a solid 46% from the floor, however they are only attempting 72 shots per game, which is by far the fewest in the league. They are also tied for the worst rebounding team in the league. With this being a back-to-back, you would think the Pacers have the edge in this one, yet both teams have been just horrendous against the spread in their second of a back-to-back (see above). The good news, something has to give and I’m just not sure how you make a strong case for the Celtics in this one.

Pick

Indiana Pacers -3.5 Boston Celtics

January 14, 2012 by : Posted in NBA, Sportsbook No Comments

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